Olimpia vs Libertad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.4%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
27.9%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olimpia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2010 |
OLI
1 - 2
AME
68%
20%
12%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2010 |
SAN
0 - 1
OLI
26%
27%
48%
|
76 | 60 | 16 | +1 |
| 09 May. 2010 |
OLI
2 - 1
SPC
71%
19%
10%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2010 |
CCP
0 - 0
OLI
52%
26%
22%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2010 |
OLI
1 - 0
NAC
51%
24%
25%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2010 |
LIB
2 - 0
CHI
42%
26%
32%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2010 |
CCP
0 - 2
LIB
48%
28%
25%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2010 |
CHI
3 - 0
LIB
57%
23%
20%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 May. 2010 |
LIB
3 - 0
SAN
71%
20%
10%
|
79 | 60 | 19 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2010 |
LIB
2 - 1
ONC
49%
25%
27%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |