Olimpia vs Libertad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.9%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.1%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
29.5%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olimpia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2009 |
2DE
2 - 3
OLI
40%
28%
33%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
OLI
2 - 0
CCP
38%
26%
37%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2009 |
GUA
0 - 0
OLI
45%
27%
28%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
OLI
3 - 1
SAN
66%
21%
14%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2009 |
OLI
2 - 2
TAC
53%
25%
22%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2009 |
EST
3 - 0
LIB
55%
26%
19%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
SAN
0 - 1
LIB
29%
27%
44%
|
79 | 60 | 19 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2009 |
LIB
0 - 2
JAG
50%
23%
27%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
2DE
2 - 2
LIB
31%
28%
41%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2009 |
TAC
0 - 3
LIB
29%
29%
42%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |