Olimpia vs Libertad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.4%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
30.9%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olimpia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2009 |
SAN
1 - 4
OLI
37%
27%
37%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2009 |
CCP
1 - 0
OLI
49%
26%
25%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2009 |
LQE
1 - 5
OLI
43%
26%
31%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2009 |
OLI
1 - 0
12O
66%
21%
13%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2009 |
RÑU
1 - 0
OLI
43%
28%
30%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2009 |
LIB
2 - 1
CCP
49%
26%
25%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
GUA
1 - 0
LIB
34%
28%
38%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2009 |
LIB
1 - 1
LIG
47%
25%
28%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2009 |
SAN
2 - 2
LIB
29%
27%
44%
|
80 | 64 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2009 |
LIB
2 - 0
LQE
61%
22%
17%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |