Olimpia vs Libertad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.3%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
11%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
32.7%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olimpia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2007 |
NAC
0 - 1
OLI
54%
24%
22%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2007 |
LQE
2 - 2
OLI
51%
25%
24%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2007 |
OLI
0 - 1
CCP
39%
26%
34%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2007 |
OLI
1 - 0
AME
60%
23%
17%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2007 |
TAC
0 - 1
OLI
51%
26%
23%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2007 |
LIB
1 - 1
PAR
49%
24%
27%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2007 |
LIB
0 - 0
AME
71%
19%
10%
|
80 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2007 |
PAR
1 - 2
LIB
49%
25%
26%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2007 |
LIB
2 - 0
TAC
57%
23%
20%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2007 |
12O
3 - 3
LIB
31%
28%
42%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |