Olimpia vs Libertad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.3%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
27.2%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olimpia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2007 |
AME
1 - 2
OLI
38%
28%
34%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2007 |
OLI
0 - 0
LQE
42%
26%
33%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2007 |
CCP
0 - 0
OLI
53%
25%
22%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2007 |
AME
0 - 1
OLI
38%
28%
35%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2007 |
OLI
2 - 2
TAC
52%
25%
23%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2007 |
DEF
2 - 1
LIB
60%
22%
19%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2007 |
LIB
3 - 2
CCP
45%
26%
29%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2007 |
TAC
2 - 1
LIB
38%
29%
34%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2007 |
LIB
3 - 1
12O
66%
21%
13%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2007 |
SPT
0 - 1
LIB
26%
29%
46%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | 0 |