Olimpia vs Libertad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.6%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.9%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
35.4%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olimpia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2006 |
CCP
1 - 0
OLI
58%
24%
18%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2006 |
OLI
2 - 2
FER
64%
22%
14%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2006 |
GUA
1 - 1
OLI
48%
26%
26%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2006 |
OLI
2 - 0
2DE
55%
25%
20%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2006 |
12O
1 - 0
OLI
37%
27%
37%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2006 |
LIB
5 - 1
FER
78%
16%
7%
|
78 | 63 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2006 |
PAU
0 - 0
LIB
42%
25%
33%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2006 |
GUA
2 - 4
LIB
41%
27%
32%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2006 |
LIB
0 - 1
2DE
74%
17%
9%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2006 |
LIB
2 - 0
RIV
38%
24%
39%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |