Olimpia vs Libertad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.5%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
26.1%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olimpia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2003 |
GUA
1 - 2
OLI
38%
26%
36%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2003 |
OLI
3 - 1
LQE
57%
23%
20%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2003 |
AME
1 - 1
OLI
31%
26%
43%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2003 |
OLI
3 - 2
SPC
70%
19%
11%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2003 |
12O
0 - 2
OLI
28%
26%
45%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2003 |
RIV
2 - 0
LIB
66%
19%
15%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2003 |
LIB
3 - 0
TAC
71%
18%
11%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2003 |
LIB
2 - 2
CCP
56%
24%
20%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2003 |
GUA
0 - 0
LIB
38%
26%
37%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2003 |
LIB
3 - 0
NAC
43%
25%
32%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | +1 |