Olimpia vs Libertad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.9%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.6%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
35.9%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olimpia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2001 |
OLI
0 - 0
12O
48%
25%
27%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2001 |
OLI
0 - 2
FLA
24%
23%
53%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | -2 |
| 15 Oct. 2001 |
OLI
0 - 1
CCP
36%
27%
37%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2001 |
CCP
3 - 0
OLI
58%
23%
20%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2001 |
OLI
0 - 2
NAC
44%
27%
29%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2001 |
LIB
2 - 2
GUA
51%
24%
24%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2001 |
GUA
3 - 0
LIB
44%
26%
30%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | -2 |
| 21 Oct. 2001 |
LIB
1 - 1
GUA
54%
24%
22%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2001 |
AME
2 - 1
LIB
34%
27%
39%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2001 |
AME
0 - 1
LIB
36%
27%
38%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |