Olimpia vs Guaraní analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.6%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
25%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
25.4%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
5º
12º
5º
32
3º
10º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
48 | 48 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 40 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
32 | 32 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
32 | 32 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
31 | 31 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
29 | 29 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
27 | 27 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
27 | 27 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 25 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
24 | 24 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
24 | 24 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
19 | 19 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CONMEBOL Libertadores
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olimpia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2023 |
FLA
1 - 0
OLI
78%
14%
8%
|
79 | 90 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
SPT
1 - 1
OLI
42%
25%
33%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2023 |
OLI
1 - 2
NAC
51%
25%
24%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | -1 |
| 20 Jul. 2023 |
SPO
0 - 0
OLI
32%
24%
44%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | +1 |
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
RES
3 - 2
OLI
19%
24%
57%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2023 |
BOT
2 - 1
GUA
69%
19%
12%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
GUA
1 - 1
NAC
50%
25%
25%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
TAC
0 - 1
GUA
30%
27%
43%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2023 |
GUA
0 - 3
LIB
47%
25%
29%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2023 |
LQE
1 - 2
GUA
40%
27%
33%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |