Olimpia vs Guaraní analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.7%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
27.9%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olimpia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
LQE
2 - 2
OLI
33%
27%
40%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2018 |
OLI
3 - 1
GEN
59%
23%
18%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2018 |
JUN
3 - 1
OLI
46%
26%
28%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2018 |
IND
1 - 2
OLI
22%
25%
53%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2018 |
OLI
1 - 0
JUN
52%
25%
23%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2018 |
GUA
0 - 0
JUN
54%
24%
23%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2018 |
GUA
2 - 1
DEP
58%
22%
20%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2018 |
JUN
1 - 0
GUA
46%
25%
29%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
LIB
2 - 0
GUA
37%
26%
36%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2018 |
GUA
6 - 0
CAR
72%
17%
11%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | +1 |