Olimpia vs Guaraní analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.8%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
29.9%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olimpia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
GEN
1 - 2
OLI
21%
25%
54%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
OLI
1 - 1
LIB
58%
23%
19%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
NAC
3 - 4
OLI
22%
25%
52%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2016 |
OLI
1 - 0
AME
58%
23%
19%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
CCP
1 - 1
OLI
46%
24%
30%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
GUA
2 - 1
LQE
61%
22%
17%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
GUA
1 - 0
GEN
67%
19%
14%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2016 |
LIB
0 - 1
GUA
41%
25%
34%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2016 |
GUA
1 - 0
NAC
65%
20%
16%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2016 |
AME
3 - 0
GUA
45%
23%
32%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | -1 |