Olimpia vs Guaraní analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.4%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
20.5%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olimpia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
OLI
0 - 2
RÑU
71%
18%
11%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
CCP
2 - 1
OLI
47%
26%
28%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2013 |
NAC
1 - 1
OLI
43%
27%
30%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2013 |
OLI
4 - 0
DEP
67%
20%
13%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2013 |
LIB
1 - 0
OLI
40%
28%
32%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
CAR
2 - 2
GUA
31%
29%
40%
|
76 | 62 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2013 |
NAC
0 - 0
GUA
63%
21%
16%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
GUA
2 - 2
LQE
62%
23%
15%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2013 |
GUA
0 - 2
NAC
35%
26%
39%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
GUA
0 - 3
GEN
61%
23%
16%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |