Olimpia vs Guaraní analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.2%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
20.2%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olimpia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2012 |
OLI
1 - 0
NAC
51%
24%
25%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
TAC
2 - 3
OLI
19%
26%
55%
|
78 | 62 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2012 |
OLI
0 - 1
EME
52%
24%
24%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
LQE
2 - 1
OLI
27%
26%
47%
|
79 | 64 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2012 |
OLI
2 - 2
LIB
47%
26%
27%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
GUA
2 - 0
TAC
68%
21%
12%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
CER
1 - 0
GUA
34%
27%
39%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
NAC
1 - 2
GUA
51%
25%
23%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
GUA
1 - 0
LQE
66%
22%
12%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2012 |
LIB
0 - 0
GUA
56%
24%
20%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | +1 |