Olimpia vs Guaraní analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.7%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.2%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
22.5%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olimpia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jun. 2009 |
TAC
4 - 1
OLI
33%
29%
38%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2009 |
OLI
1 - 4
LQE
58%
23%
19%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | -1 |
| 14 Jun. 2009 |
CCP
1 - 2
OLI
50%
26%
24%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | +1 |
| 31 May. 2009 |
OLI
1 - 1
NAC
44%
25%
31%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2009 |
RÑU
3 - 5
OLI
42%
29%
29%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jun. 2009 |
LQE
0 - 2
GUA
49%
25%
26%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2009 |
GUA
1 - 1
NAC
35%
27%
38%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2009 |
12O
2 - 1
GUA
38%
27%
35%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | -1 |
| 30 May. 2009 |
GUA
4 - 0
LIB
33%
28%
39%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | +2 |
| 24 May. 2009 |
SAN
2 - 1
GUA
33%
26%
41%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | -1 |