Olimpia vs Guaraní analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.9%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.2%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
26%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
24.1%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olimpia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
OLI
0 - 2
LIB
42%
27%
31%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2009 |
SAN
1 - 4
OLI
37%
27%
37%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2009 |
CCP
1 - 0
OLI
49%
26%
25%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2009 |
LQE
1 - 5
OLI
43%
26%
31%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2009 |
OLI
1 - 0
12O
66%
21%
13%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
GUA
1 - 0
12O
60%
25%
16%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2009 |
LQE
1 - 1
GUA
43%
26%
31%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
GUA
1 - 0
LIB
34%
28%
38%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2009 |
RÑU
0 - 0
GUA
46%
27%
26%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2009 |
GUA
0 - 0
AME
52%
26%
22%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |