Olimpia vs Guaraní analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.1%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
16.5%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olimpia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2008 |
LIB
1 - 0
OLI
55%
24%
21%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2008 |
OLI
3 - 3
PET
64%
22%
14%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2008 |
CCP
1 - 0
OLI
50%
26%
25%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2008 |
OLI
2 - 1
SAN
64%
22%
15%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2008 |
12O
1 - 2
OLI
36%
28%
37%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2008 |
GUA
3 - 1
AME
52%
26%
23%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2008 |
GUA
0 - 3
LIB
37%
28%
35%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2008 |
PET
1 - 2
GUA
50%
26%
24%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2008 |
GUA
0 - 2
CCP
34%
26%
40%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2008 |
SAN
1 - 2
GUA
45%
26%
29%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | +1 |