Olimpia vs Guaraní analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.8%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
28.2%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olimpia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2008 |
UCO
4 - 0
OLI
57%
23%
20%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2008 |
CCP
1 - 0
OLI
53%
25%
22%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2008 |
BLO
1 - 0
OLI
48%
24%
28%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2008 |
SAN
2 - 0
OLI
40%
26%
33%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2008 |
OLI
4 - 2
BLO
51%
24%
25%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2008 |
NAC
0 - 0
GUA
54%
24%
23%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2008 |
GUA
0 - 0
2DE
59%
23%
18%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2008 |
GUA
3 - 1
TAC
54%
25%
22%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2008 |
LIB
1 - 1
GUA
56%
23%
20%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | +1 |
| 03 Aug. 2008 |
GUA
1 - 0
LQE
50%
25%
26%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |