Olimpia vs Guaraní analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.3%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
22.3%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olimpia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2000 |
OLI
1 - 1
LIG
72%
17%
11%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2000 |
OLI
2 - 0
CAC
67%
20%
13%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2000 |
12O
0 - 1
OLI
35%
27%
38%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2000 |
OLI
3 - 1
CCC
63%
21%
16%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2000 |
OLI
2 - 2
COR
37%
28%
35%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2000 |
GUA
3 - 0
CCC
59%
22%
18%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2000 |
ENC
2 - 5
GUA
44%
25%
31%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2000 |
GUA
2 - 2
AME
63%
22%
16%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2000 |
SPO
1 - 0
GUA
37%
25%
38%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 May. 1997 |
GRE
2 - 1
GUA
81%
13%
7%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | +1 |