Olimpia vs Guaraní analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.4%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.2%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
22.1%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olimpia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 1963 |
OLI
2 - 1
UCH
71%
16%
13%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 1963 |
UCH
4 - 1
OLI
55%
21%
25%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1963 |
BOC
5 - 3
OLI
65%
19%
17%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 1963 |
OLI
1 - 0
BOC
52%
22%
26%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | +1 |
| 27 May. 1961 |
OLI
1 - 2
PEÑ
57%
20%
23%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 1965 |
PEÑ
2 - 0
GUA
73%
15%
12%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1965 |
GUA
2 - 1
PEÑ
64%
18%
18%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 1965 |
GUA
2 - 1
GAL
64%
17%
18%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 1965 |
GAL
1 - 2
GUA
44%
21%
35%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |