Copa Libertadores Knock-outs Quarter-finals
Global 1-5
Olimpia vs Fluminense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.2%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.4%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
56%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.3%
0-3
6%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.8%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olimpia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
LQE
0 - 1
OLI
38%
26%
36%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2023 |
FLU
2 - 0
OLI
75%
16%
9%
|
80 | 90 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
OLI
1 - 1
GUA
61%
22%
17%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
CCP
1 - 1
OLI
43%
25%
32%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2023 |
OLI
3 - 1
FLA
19%
22%
60%
|
80 | 90 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
ATP
2 - 2
FLU
40%
26%
34%
|
90 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2023 |
FLU
2 - 0
OLI
75%
16%
9%
|
90 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
FLU
3 - 1
AMF
63%
21%
16%
|
90 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
GRE
2 - 1
FLU
42%
26%
33%
|
90 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2023 |
FLU
2 - 0
ARG
73%
18%
9%
|
90 | 85 | 5 | 0 |