Copa Libertadores Quarter-finals
Global 2-1
Olimpia vs Fluminense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.3%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.5%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.1%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
40.7%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
7%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olimpia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2013 |
OLI
2 - 3
NAC
45%
25%
30%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2013 |
FLU
0 - 0
OLI
65%
20%
15%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2013 |
OLI
2 - 3
GUA
54%
24%
22%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2013 |
OLI
2 - 0
TIG
48%
25%
27%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2013 |
GEN
0 - 1
OLI
27%
27%
47%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2013 |
FLU
2 - 1
ATP
66%
20%
14%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2013 |
FLU
0 - 0
OLI
65%
20%
15%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2013 |
FLU
2 - 0
EME
64%
21%
15%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
BOT
1 - 0
FLU
49%
24%
27%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2013 |
EME
2 - 1
FLU
31%
27%
42%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |