Olimpia vs Flamengo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.1%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.7%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
22.8%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olimpia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
GUA
0 - 1
OLI
33%
27%
40%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
OLI
2 - 1
TAC
73%
18%
9%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2012 |
FLA
3 - 3
OLI
44%
27%
29%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
LIB
0 - 1
OLI
47%
26%
27%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
OLI
2 - 1
NAC
50%
25%
25%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2012 |
SER
2 - 1
FLA
10%
19%
71%
|
79 | 47 | 32 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
FLA
1 - 4
CAP
84%
12%
4%
|
80 | 51 | 29 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
VOL
2 - 4
FLA
14%
22%
64%
|
79 | 55 | 24 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2012 |
FLA
0 - 2
SAO
82%
14%
5%
|
80 | 49 | 31 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
FRI
0 - 1
FLA
14%
21%
65%
|
80 | 53 | 27 | 0 |