Olimpia vs Dep. Capiatá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.7%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
24%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
20.3%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olimpia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
NAC
0 - 0
OLI
37%
27%
36%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
RÑU
1 - 0
OLI
36%
26%
38%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2014 |
OLI
1 - 3
GEN
57%
24%
19%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2014 |
GUA
4 - 2
OLI
51%
24%
25%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
OLI
0 - 0
RÑU
63%
22%
15%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Dep. Capiatá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2015 |
DEP
2 - 1
GUA
28%
25%
47%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2015 |
AME
3 - 1
DEP
51%
24%
25%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2014 |
LQE
0 - 0
DEP
49%
26%
25%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2014 |
DEP
0 - 0
12O
67%
20%
13%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
SAN
2 - 1
DEP
36%
26%
38%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | -1 |