Olimpia vs Dep. Capiatá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.8%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.1%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.4%
11.7%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olimpia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2013 |
LIB
0 - 0
OLI
41%
27%
32%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2013 |
OLI
4 - 1
NOB
37%
25%
38%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
OLI
2 - 0
CER
66%
21%
13%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2013 |
UCH
0 - 1
OLI
52%
23%
25%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
OLI
1 - 0
CCP
45%
26%
29%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Dep. Capiatá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
AME
1 - 0
DEP
57%
24%
19%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
DEP
0 - 0
LIB
39%
24%
37%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2013 |
DEP
2 - 0
CAR
60%
22%
18%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
CER
1 - 0
DEP
49%
27%
25%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
CCP
0 - 1
DEP
71%
19%
10%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | +1 |