Copa Sudamericana 1/32
Global 1-3
Olimpia vs Defensor Sporting analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
31.4%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olimpia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2010 |
OLI
2 - 0
SAN
72%
18%
10%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2010 |
OLI
2 - 2
CCP
39%
26%
35%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2010 |
OLI
0 - 2
LIB
45%
27%
28%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Aug. 2010 |
AME
1 - 0
OLI
39%
27%
34%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2010 |
DEF
2 - 0
OLI
57%
23%
20%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Defensor Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2010 |
DEF
3 - 0
LFC
48%
24%
27%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2010 |
RIV
1 - 1
DEF
55%
23%
22%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2010 |
DEF
2 - 0
OLI
57%
23%
20%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2010 |
LFC
3 - 0
DEF
43%
26%
31%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2010 |
DEF
2 - 0
MWA
57%
23%
21%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | +1 |