Olimpia vs Cerro Porteño analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.1%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.7%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
36.6%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olimpia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
SPO
2 - 5
OLI
26%
27%
47%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2015 |
OLI
1 - 1
GEN
57%
24%
19%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2015 |
DEP
0 - 1
OLI
38%
27%
35%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
OLI
1 - 0
NAC
47%
26%
27%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2015 |
OLI
3 - 0
RÑU
57%
24%
19%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Cerro Porteño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
CCP
2 - 0
GUA
45%
24%
31%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
AME
1 - 2
CCP
35%
26%
40%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2015 |
CCP
2 - 1
LQE
66%
20%
14%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
SAN
0 - 2
CCP
23%
26%
52%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2015 |
CCP
0 - 0
LIB
56%
23%
20%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |