Olimpia vs Cerro Porteño analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.4%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.7%
1-0
11%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
35.1%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olimpia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2004 |
GUA
3 - 1
OLI
49%
25%
26%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2004 |
OLI
2 - 2
AME
59%
23%
18%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2004 |
TAC
3 - 2
OLI
43%
27%
31%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2004 |
OLI
0 - 1
CCP
40%
28%
33%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2004 |
NAC
1 - 2
OLI
51%
24%
24%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Cerro Porteño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2004 |
CCP
2 - 1
SPC
71%
19%
10%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2004 |
LIB
4 - 3
CCP
46%
27%
28%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2004 |
CCP
2 - 0
LQE
60%
23%
17%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2004 |
OLI
0 - 1
CCP
40%
28%
33%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2004 |
CCP
0 - 0
BOC
43%
27%
30%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |