Olimpia vs Arsenal de Sarandí analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.1%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.5%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
23.8%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olimpia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
NAC
1 - 0
OLI
42%
27%
31%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2011 |
EME
1 - 2
OLI
50%
25%
25%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2011 |
OLI
2 - 1
EME
50%
25%
26%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
LQE
3 - 1
OLI
27%
26%
47%
|
79 | 64 | 15 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
OLI
1 - 1
CCP
52%
24%
23%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Arsenal de Sarandí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
OLI
2 - 2
ARS
41%
27%
32%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2011 |
ARS
1 - 2
ALB
53%
26%
22%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
TIG
2 - 2
ARS
44%
27%
29%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
BAN
0 - 1
ARS
50%
25%
25%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2011 |
EST
1 - 0
ARS
51%
25%
24%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |