Olimpia vs 3 de Febrero analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.5%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.8%
3-0
11.9%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.1%
2-0
15.3%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
15.5%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
15.5%
7%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olimpia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2011 |
OLI
2 - 0
STR
63%
20%
17%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2011 |
GUA
3 - 4
OLI
39%
28%
34%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2011 |
SAN
3 - 2
OLI
24%
27%
49%
|
78 | 62 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2011 |
OLI
2 - 2
LIB
50%
26%
24%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2011 |
RÑU
0 - 3
OLI
39%
27%
34%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
3 de Febrero
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2011 |
SAN
2 - 3
TAC
45%
26%
29%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2011 |
SAN
3 - 2
OLI
24%
27%
49%
|
62 | 78 | 16 | +1 |
| 29 May. 2011 |
NAC
1 - 1
SAN
72%
19%
9%
|
62 | 80 | 18 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2011 |
CCP
1 - 1
SAN
71%
20%
9%
|
62 | 79 | 17 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2011 |
LIB
3 - 0
SAN
76%
16%
8%
|
62 | 79 | 17 | 0 |