Olimpia vs 3 de Febrero analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.6%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.7%
13.7%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olimpia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2009 |
OLI
2 - 2
TAC
53%
25%
22%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
LQE
1 - 1
OLI
49%
25%
26%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2009 |
NAC
2 - 2
OLI
55%
24%
21%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
OLI
0 - 1
RÑU
56%
25%
19%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
12O
0 - 0
OLI
41%
27%
33%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
3 de Febrero
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2009 |
SAN
2 - 2
TAC
36%
26%
39%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2009 |
CCP
4 - 1
SAN
67%
21%
12%
|
62 | 79 | 17 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2009 |
SAN
1 - 3
RÑU
38%
28%
34%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
SAN
3 - 4
2DE
46%
25%
29%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2009 |
GUA
2 - 0
SAN
61%
23%
16%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | 0 |