Olginatese vs Folgore Caratese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
15.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.4%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21.6%
12.4%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olginatese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
MAP
1 - 2
OLG
42%
25%
33%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
OLG
1 - 2
CIS
58%
22%
20%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
PER
2 - 2
OLG
37%
27%
36%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
OLG
0 - 0
VIL
55%
24%
21%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
PSM
0 - 0
OLG
35%
25%
40%
|
38 | 29 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Folgore Caratese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
FOL
2 - 2
PSM
50%
23%
27%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
PRO
2 - 1
FOL
57%
25%
18%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
FOL
3 - 5
FCC
35%
27%
38%
|
29 | 35 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
SER
2 - 0
FOL
67%
21%
12%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | -2 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
FOL
1 - 1
PON
31%
25%
44%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | +1 |