Oleiros vs Benfica Castelo Branco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.2%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.6%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
25.4%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oleiros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2019 |
USA
1 - 2
OLE
14%
20%
66%
|
45 | 24 | 21 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2019 |
OLE
1 - 1
PRA
19%
24%
57%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2019 |
BMA
0 - 0
OLE
80%
14%
6%
|
44 | 55 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2019 |
CON
0 - 1
OLE
18%
21%
60%
|
44 | 28 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2019 |
OLE
1 - 0
RDA
31%
28%
42%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | +4 |
Matches
Benfica Castelo Branco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2019 |
BEN
1 - 0
IDE
70%
18%
13%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2019 |
CON
2 - 1
BEN
18%
20%
61%
|
43 | 29 | 14 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2019 |
BEN
0 - 0
MAR
53%
24%
23%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2019 |
BEN
1 - 0
VIT
69%
18%
13%
|
43 | 34 | 9 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 2019 |
SER
1 - 0
BEN
32%
28%
40%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | -1 |