Oleiros vs Sourense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.7%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
22.2%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.3%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oleiros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
MAR
1 - 0
OLE
27%
22%
52%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
OLE
1 - 1
BEN
25%
26%
49%
|
37 | 48 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2017 |
MAR
4 - 0
OLE
57%
23%
19%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
OLE
1 - 0
FAL
85%
10%
5%
|
37 | 19 | 18 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2017 |
OLE
2 - 4
SCP
3%
9%
88%
|
38 | 86 | 48 | -1 |
Matches
Sourense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
SOU
2 - 1
FAV
82%
12%
6%
|
34 | 20 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
ADN
1 - 1
SOU
48%
25%
27%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
SOU
2 - 0
ADM
47%
24%
29%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | +2 |
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
LUS
2 - 1
SOU
73%
17%
10%
|
33 | 44 | 11 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
SOU
1 - 1
GAF
32%
26%
42%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | 0 |