Oleiros vs Sertanense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.1%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
26.9%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oleiros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
ALC
0 - 2
OLE
10%
17%
73%
|
42 | 21 | 21 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
OLE
1 - 1
OLI
34%
26%
40%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2019 |
MAC
0 - 0
OLE
9%
15%
76%
|
42 | 19 | 23 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
OLE
1 - 1
BEN
34%
28%
39%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
PEN
0 - 1
OLE
17%
22%
61%
|
41 | 29 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Sertanense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
SER
1 - 1
CAL
38%
29%
34%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
SIN
1 - 3
SER
60%
22%
18%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | +2 |
| 03 Mar. 2019 |
SER
1 - 1
ALV
54%
23%
24%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
ANA
0 - 0
SER
63%
22%
15%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
SER
0 - 1
UDL
15%
23%
61%
|
39 | 53 | 14 | 0 |