Oleiros vs Sertanense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.5%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.6%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
8%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
8%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.9%
71.6%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.7%
0-2
11.2%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21%
0-3
9%
1-4
4.5%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.5%
0-4
5.3%
1-5
2.2%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
7.9%
0-5
2.6%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
3.5%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oleiros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
FUN
1 - 1
OLE
18%
21%
61%
|
24 | 15 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
OLE
2 - 4
BAN
84%
11%
5%
|
25 | 11 | 14 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
PED
3 - 2
OLE
11%
18%
71%
|
26 | 11 | 15 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
OLE
2 - 1
PAN
82%
12%
6%
|
26 | 12 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
ALC
2 - 2
OLE
28%
23%
49%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Sertanense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2016 |
SER
1 - 0
ALC
33%
27%
40%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
PEN
1 - 0
SER
14%
23%
62%
|
47 | 32 | 15 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
ADM
2 - 2
SER
27%
24%
49%
|
48 | 37 | 11 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
SER
1 - 1
CRA
65%
21%
14%
|
48 | 36 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
NAV
2 - 5
SER
35%
27%
38%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | +1 |