Oleiros vs Ideal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.1%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.9%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.4%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
4%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.6%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.8%
67.1%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.4%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.1%
0-3
7.9%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.9%
0-4
4.4%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.6%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.7%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oleiros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
ALC
2 - 0
OLE
30%
22%
48%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
FAT
3 - 2
OLE
84%
11%
5%
|
23 | 44 | 21 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
OLE
0 - 1
SER
12%
17%
72%
|
24 | 47 | 23 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
FUN
1 - 1
OLE
18%
21%
61%
|
24 | 15 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
OLE
2 - 4
BAN
84%
11%
5%
|
25 | 11 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Ideal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
IDE
0 - 2
PRA
24%
23%
53%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
SER
5 - 1
IDE
55%
24%
21%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
IDE
3 - 1
VIT
51%
24%
25%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
ACA
2 - 0
IDE
40%
25%
35%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | -2 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
IDE
2 - 0
SAB
54%
23%
23%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | +1 |