Oleiros vs Naval 1º de Maio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.5%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.3%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.1%
32.4%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oleiros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
IDE
1 - 1
OLE
85%
10%
5%
|
21 | 42 | 21 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
OLE
1 - 1
OPE
8%
18%
75%
|
21 | 51 | 30 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
OLE
0 - 2
FAT
13%
19%
69%
|
22 | 42 | 20 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
SER
2 - 1
OLE
83%
13%
5%
|
22 | 48 | 26 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
VIT
1 - 1
OLE
75%
16%
9%
|
22 | 40 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Naval 1º de Maio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
ANM
1 - 4
FAT
14%
19%
68%
|
23 | 45 | 22 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
ANM
1 - 3
SER
13%
18%
70%
|
24 | 47 | 23 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
ANM
1 - 1
VIT
17%
19%
64%
|
24 | 38 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
UDL
6 - 0
ANM
88%
10%
3%
|
24 | 54 | 30 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
ANM
0 - 4
CAR
47%
22%
31%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | -1 |