FA Cup 1/32
Global 2-4
Oldham Athletic AFC vs Wolves analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.5%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.5%
32.6%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oldham Athletic AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2007 |
SCU
1 - 1
OLD
49%
26%
26%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2007 |
WOL
2 - 2
OLD
59%
23%
18%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2007 |
OLD
5 - 0
NTT
49%
27%
25%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Dec. 2006 |
GIL
0 - 3
OLD
37%
27%
36%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 2006 |
ROT
2 - 3
OLD
41%
26%
33%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Wolves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2007 |
STO
1 - 1
WOL
42%
28%
30%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2007 |
WOL
2 - 2
OLD
59%
23%
18%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | -1 |
| 01 Jan. 2007 |
WOL
2 - 0
BAR
61%
23%
16%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | +1 |
| 30 Dec. 2006 |
COL
2 - 1
WOL
49%
26%
25%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 2006 |
DER
0 - 2
WOL
49%
26%
25%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | +1 |