Carabao Cup 1/32
Global 3-2
Oldham Athletic AFC vs Tranmere Rovers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.6%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
24.5%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oldham Athletic AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 1996 |
HUR
3 - 2
OLD
59%
24%
18%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1996 |
BIR
0 - 0
OLD
56%
25%
19%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1996 |
OLD
0 - 2
SHE
38%
27%
36%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1996 |
GRI
0 - 1
OLD
53%
24%
23%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1996 |
OLD
3 - 3
IPS
40%
26%
34%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Tranmere Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 1996 |
SWI
2 - 1
TRA
50%
26%
24%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1996 |
HUR
0 - 1
TRA
53%
25%
22%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 1996 |
TRA
1 - 0
BIR
57%
23%
20%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1996 |
TRA
1 - 1
STF
78%
14%
9%
|
65 | 53 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1996 |
BRA
1 - 0
TRA
41%
27%
32%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | -1 |