Oldham Athletic AFC vs Swindon Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.1%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.1%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.1%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
43.1%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.6%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oldham Athletic AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
CUM
0 - 0
OLD
46%
25%
29%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2021 |
OLD
1 - 3
WAL
47%
26%
28%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
OLD
3 - 0
STE
43%
28%
30%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
MAN
0 - 0
OLD
47%
24%
29%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
OLD
1 - 2
TOW
33%
25%
41%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Swindon Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
SWI
1 - 3
BRA
59%
23%
18%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2021 |
SUT
1 - 2
SWI
48%
25%
27%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
SWI
2 - 2
ROC
48%
25%
27%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2021 |
PLY
1 - 3
SWI
54%
22%
24%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
FOR
0 - 2
SWI
54%
24%
22%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | +1 |