Oldham Athletic AFC vs Swindon Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.9%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
15.7%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oldham Athletic AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2009 |
SCU
2 - 0
OLD
57%
23%
20%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2009 |
OLD
3 - 1
STO
46%
26%
28%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 2009 |
HER
5 - 0
OLD
25%
28%
48%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 2009 |
OLD
2 - 1
HAR
52%
25%
24%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2009 |
HUR
1 - 1
OLD
46%
26%
29%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Swindon Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2009 |
SWI
3 - 2
WAL
51%
25%
24%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2009 |
HUR
2 - 1
SWI
62%
22%
16%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2009 |
SWI
1 - 1
STO
38%
26%
36%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2008 |
SWI
0 - 2
BHA
55%
24%
20%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 2008 |
LEY
1 - 2
SWI
52%
25%
23%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | +1 |