Oldham Athletic AFC vs Reading analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.1%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.4%
10.5%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oldham Athletic AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 1994 |
SOU
1 - 0
OLD
27%
28%
46%
|
77 | 58 | 19 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1994 |
NOT
1 - 3
OLD
42%
26%
32%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 1994 |
OLD
3 - 0
BUR
78%
14%
8%
|
76 | 61 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 1994 |
POR
3 - 1
OLD
36%
28%
36%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 1994 |
OLD
5 - 2
CHA
77%
15%
8%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Reading
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 1994 |
REA
0 - 0
MIL
49%
27%
24%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1994 |
REA
4 - 0
STO
51%
26%
23%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 1994 |
BAR
0 - 2
REA
42%
28%
30%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 1994 |
REA
3 - 0
GIL
73%
18%
9%
|
65 | 52 | 13 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 1994 |
REA
0 - 0
OPA
43%
27%
30%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |