Oldham Athletic AFC vs Reading analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.1%
Win probability
2.91
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.6%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.7%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.6%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.5%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.5%
13.5%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.5%
9.4%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+31%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oldham Athletic AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 1927 |
GRI
1 - 2
OLD
48%
24%
28%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1927 |
MAC
3 - 1
OLD
81%
12%
7%
|
67 | 80 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1927 |
OLD
0 - 0
NOT
65%
19%
16%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1927 |
SOU
5 - 2
OLD
46%
26%
29%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 1927 |
OLD
3 - 1
STO
66%
19%
15%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Reading
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 1927 |
REA
2 - 2
NOT
56%
21%
24%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1927 |
SOU
0 - 0
REA
65%
19%
16%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 1927 |
REA
1 - 1
STO
58%
20%
22%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1927 |
BRI
4 - 1
REA
57%
22%
21%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | -2 |
| 14 Sep. 1927 |
REA
2 - 2
GRI
70%
16%
14%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |