Oldham Athletic AFC vs Plymouth Argyle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.2%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
19.6%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oldham Athletic AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2003 |
CAR
1 - 1
OLD
58%
23%
20%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2003 |
OLD
1 - 3
CRE
47%
25%
28%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2003 |
WYC
2 - 2
OLD
40%
26%
34%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2003 |
OLD
2 - 1
BRE
50%
24%
26%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Jan. 2003 |
OLD
0 - 0
POS
71%
18%
11%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Plymouth Argyle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2003 |
HUR
1 - 0
PLY
34%
28%
38%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2003 |
PLY
3 - 1
MAN
59%
23%
19%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 2003 |
NOT
0 - 2
PLY
45%
26%
30%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2003 |
PLY
0 - 1
QPR
51%
25%
24%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2003 |
DAG
2 - 0
PLY
38%
26%
36%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | -2 |