Oldham Athletic AFC vs Notts County analysis

Oldham Athletic AFC Notts County
66 ELO 59
10% Tilt -3.2%
3705º General ELO ranking 2749º
94º Country ELO ranking 69º
ELO win probability
69.9%
Oldham Athletic AFC
16.8%
Draw
13.3%
Notts County

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.9%
Win probability
Oldham Athletic AFC
2.52
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.2%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.8%
13.3%
Win probability
Notts County
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Oldham Athletic AFC
+20%
-20%
Notts County

ELO progression

Oldham Athletic AFC
Notts County
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Oldham Athletic AFC
Oldham Athletic AFC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
03 Sep. 1934
OLD
Oldham Athletic AFC
2 - 2
Swansea City
SWA
69%
18%
13%
65 63 2 0
01 Sep. 1934
SOU
Southampton
2 - 2
Oldham Athletic AFC
OLD
55%
23%
22%
65 62 3 0
27 Aug. 1934
SWA
Swansea City
5 - 1
Oldham Athletic AFC
OLD
51%
25%
24%
66 63 3 -1
25 Aug. 1934
OLD
Oldham Athletic AFC
1 - 4
Bolton Wanderers
BOL
49%
21%
31%
67 75 8 -1
05 May. 1934
FUL
Fulham
1 - 2
Oldham Athletic AFC
OLD
52%
24%
24%
68 63 5 -1

Matches

Notts County
Notts County
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
03 Sep. 1934
NOT
Notts County
1 - 4
Barnsley
BAR
58%
22%
21%
60 59 1 0
01 Sep. 1934
NOT
Notts County
1 - 0
Burnley
BUR
48%
24%
28%
60 65 5 0
27 Aug. 1934
BAR
Barnsley
1 - 1
Notts County
NOT
59%
21%
20%
60 58 2 0
25 Aug. 1934
SWA
Swansea City
2 - 1
Notts County
NOT
56%
23%
21%
60 63 3 0
05 May. 1934
NOT
Notts County
1 - 2
West Ham
WHU
48%
24%
28%
62 67 5 -2