Oldham Athletic AFC vs Notts County analysis

Oldham Athletic AFC Notts County
67 ELO 64
9.8% Tilt 5.3%
3708º General ELO ranking 2749º
94º Country ELO ranking 69º
ELO win probability
65.2%
Oldham Athletic AFC
18.7%
Draw
16.1%
Notts County

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.2%
Win probability
Oldham Athletic AFC
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.6%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.7%
16.1%
Win probability
Notts County
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Oldham Athletic AFC
+30%
-18%
Notts County

ELO progression

Oldham Athletic AFC
Notts County
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Oldham Athletic AFC
Oldham Athletic AFC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 Sep. 1927
SOU
Southampton
5 - 2
Oldham Athletic AFC
OLD
46%
26%
29%
68 61 7 0
10 Sep. 1927
OLD
Oldham Athletic AFC
3 - 1
Stoke City
STO
66%
19%
15%
68 64 4 0
05 Sep. 1927
OLD
Oldham Athletic AFC
6 - 0
Blackpool
BPO
56%
21%
23%
67 68 1 +1
03 Sep. 1927
BRI
Bristol City
2 - 1
Oldham Athletic AFC
OLD
42%
27%
31%
67 61 6 0
29 Aug. 1927
BPO
Blackpool
1 - 2
Oldham Athletic AFC
OLD
63%
20%
17%
67 69 2 0

Matches

Notts County
Notts County
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 Sep. 1927
NTT
Nottingham Forest
2 - 1
Notts County
NOT
65%
19%
16%
64 69 5 0
10 Sep. 1927
NOT
Notts County
0 - 0
Southampton
SOU
64%
21%
15%
64 61 3 0
07 Sep. 1927
CHL
Chelsea
5 - 0
Notts County
NOT
59%
23%
18%
65 73 8 -1
03 Sep. 1927
STO
Stoke City
3 - 0
Notts County
NOT
43%
26%
31%
66 63 3 -1
27 Aug. 1927
NOT
Notts County
1 - 2
Bristol City
BRI
70%
19%
11%
66 59 7 0