Oldham Athletic AFC vs Notts County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.1%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
16.3%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oldham Athletic AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 1914 |
BBU
4 - 1
OLD
68%
18%
13%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1914 |
OLD
5 - 3
BOL
49%
25%
27%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 1914 |
MUD
1 - 3
OLD
57%
23%
20%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1914 |
OLD
2 - 1
SUN
36%
26%
38%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 1914 |
BBU
2 - 1
OLD
70%
18%
12%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Notts County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 1914 |
NOT
1 - 2
BRA
68%
19%
13%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1914 |
LIV
1 - 1
NOT
64%
20%
15%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1914 |
ASV
2 - 1
NOT
78%
14%
8%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1914 |
HUR
2 - 1
NOT
38%
28%
34%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1914 |
BPO
0 - 0
NOT
25%
29%
46%
|
79 | 61 | 18 | 0 |