Oldham Athletic AFC vs Liverpool analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.3%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3.2%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.3%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
11%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
25.2%
59.5%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
17.1%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.4%
0-2
13.4%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
18.5%
0-3
7%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
8.9%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oldham Athletic AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2013 |
NOT
1 - 0
OLD
67%
20%
13%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2013 |
COV
2 - 1
OLD
67%
21%
13%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2013 |
OLD
0 - 2
BRE
28%
28%
45%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | -1 |
| 05 Jan. 2013 |
NTT
2 - 3
OLD
72%
18%
11%
|
56 | 69 | 13 | +1 |
| 01 Jan. 2013 |
SCU
2 - 2
OLD
51%
24%
25%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Liverpool
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2013 |
LIV
5 - 0
NOR
69%
19%
12%
|
89 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
MUD
2 - 1
LIV
75%
16%
9%
|
89 | 94 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2013 |
MAN
1 - 2
LIV
16%
26%
59%
|
89 | 56 | 33 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2013 |
LIV
3 - 0
SUN
68%
20%
12%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | +1 |
| 30 Dec. 2012 |
QPR
0 - 3
LIV
21%
25%
54%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |