Oldham Athletic AFC vs Derby County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.5%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.7%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.3%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.6%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
42.3%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.8%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oldham Athletic AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 1924 |
BPO
1 - 2
OLD
62%
21%
17%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1924 |
OLD
1 - 0
HUL
51%
27%
22%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1924 |
OPA
2 - 2
OLD
67%
17%
15%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1924 |
OLD
0 - 0
FUL
53%
26%
21%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1924 |
WOL
2 - 0
OLD
57%
23%
20%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 1924 |
DER
5 - 1
COV
78%
14%
8%
|
74 | 57 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1924 |
STO
1 - 1
DER
33%
28%
40%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1924 |
DER
0 - 3
LEI
68%
19%
13%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 1924 |
MUD
1 - 1
DER
47%
25%
28%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1924 |
DER
2 - 0
STO
78%
15%
7%
|
75 | 60 | 15 | 0 |