Oldham Athletic AFC vs Crewe Alexandra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.7%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.5%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
30.1%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oldham Athletic AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2007 |
DON
1 - 2
OLD
56%
23%
21%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2007 |
BOU
0 - 3
OLD
40%
27%
33%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 2007 |
OLD
1 - 1
POR
55%
24%
21%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2007 |
OLD
2 - 2
DON
36%
25%
39%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2007 |
TRA
0 - 1
OLD
51%
25%
24%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Crewe Alexandra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2007 |
NTT
2 - 0
CRE
59%
23%
18%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2007 |
CRE
1 - 0
NOR
56%
23%
21%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2007 |
CRE
2 - 1
MKD
45%
23%
31%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2007 |
POR
0 - 1
CRE
39%
26%
36%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2007 |
CRE
2 - 0
YEO
43%
24%
32%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | +1 |